What to Expect from U.S. Tax Policy in 2026

What to Expect from U.S. Tax Policy in 2026After a whirlwind 2025 that produced what may be the largest tax bill in American history, the coming year looks dramatically different. Tax policy experts are predicting a legislative standstill, a turbulent tax filing season, and lingering questions about how new provisions will work when put into practice.

A Year of Legislative Gridlock

The forecast for 2026 tax legislation is bleak. With Republicans clinging to an impossibly thin House majority of just 218 or 219 seats following recent resignations, passing any significant bills will be extraordinarily difficult. Every single Republican vote would be needed to advance legislation through reconciliation, and as 2025 demonstrated, keeping the caucus unified is no small feat.

While there has been discussion about a potential second reconciliation bill, most observers view this as wishful thinking. If such a bill were to materialize, it would likely focus on technical corrections to lingering Tax Cuts and Jobs Act issues and problems that emerged from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. One notable concern involves accelerated research credits that did not deliver the benefits lawmakers intended because of unexpected interactions with the corporate alternative minimum tax.

The more pressing concern will simply be keeping the government running. A January deadline looms to avoid another shutdown and, given the contentious relationship between House Republicans and Democrats throughout 2025, even basic funding bills face uncertain prospects. With midterm elections consuming attention in the second half of the year, legislative bandwidth for tax policy will be virtually nonexistent.

A Rough Road Ahead for Taxpayers

The 2026 tax filing season is shaping up to be challenging. The IRS has experienced unprecedented upheaval, losing somewhere between 20 percent and 25 percent of its workforce through a combination of voluntary resignations and reductions in force. Many of these departures came from enforcement divisions, though customer service will also feel the impact.

Leadership instability has compounded these problems. The agency cycled through roughly seven commissioners or acting commissioners in 2025 alone. Former Congressman Billy Long was confirmed as commissioner but lasted less than two months before departing under unclear circumstances. The Treasury Secretary has since taken direct oversight of the agency, and an IRS CEO position was created for the first time in the agency’s history. No new commissioner nominee has been put forward, and there is currently no Senate-confirmed chief counsel either.

For taxpayers who need more than basic return processing, this means longer wait times, fewer answered phone calls, and potential delays. Those filing straightforward W-2 returns seeking refunds will likely fare better than individuals or businesses with complicated situations requiring IRS assistance. Audit rates will decline intentionally, as the current administration has committed to scaling back the enforcement emphasis of the Biden years.

The Justice Department’s Tax Division also has been gutted, losing many qualified litigators who previously maintained an exceptional track record against large taxpayers in court. This erosion of enforcement capability may not immediately move voluntary compliance numbers, but continued cuts will eventually catch up with the system.

Unresolved International Questions

The relationship between U.S. tax policy and the global minimum tax framework under Pillar 2 remains unsettled. Republicans declined to include a retaliatory tax provision known as section 899 in last year’s legislation based on an agreement with G20 nations. If that agreement unravels, there may be pressure to revisit retaliatory measures, though passing such legislation with current House margins seems unlikely.

American companies operating internationally could face pressure in foreign jurisdictions if the United States fails to align with Pillar 2 requirements. While many in Washington believe the international minimum tax framework will collapse, the reality on the ground suggests otherwise, and this disconnect might force future legislative action.

Conclusion

The bottom line for 2026: expect a holding pattern on major tax legislation and brace for a difficult filing season as an understaffed and unsettled IRS works to implement last year’s massive changes.

What Families Need to Know About the New Trump Accounts

What are Trump Accounts?American parents now have access to a completely new savings tool designed to give children a financial foundation for the future. Established through The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, these accounts carry the name of the current president and come with a unique set of rules that the IRS has just begun to clarify.

Who Can Open One?

Any minor holding a Social Security number who has not yet turned 18 by Dec. 31 of the current year meets the eligibility criteria. Getting started requires an authorized adult, typically a parent or legal guardian, to submit an application to the Treasury Department. Once processed, the government establishes the child’s account.

Free Money for Newborns

Families welcoming babies during a specific four-year window stand to benefit the most. American citizens born anytime from the start of 2025 through the end of 2028 qualify for a $1,000 federal deposit through a pilot initiative. This starter contribution sits outside all annual limits, meaning it will not reduce how much others can add later.

Billionaire Backing Adds More

Tech titan Michael Dell and his wife, Susan, have pledged $6.25 billion to boost these accounts further. Their generosity will provide an extra $250 to the first 25 million children meeting specific requirements. Kids must be no older than 10 and reside in areas where the median household income is under $150,000. Dell, who runs Dell Technologies as chairman and CEO, ranks 10th among America’s wealthiest individuals with a fortune estimated at $148.9 billion.

How Much Can Be Contributed Each Year?

The law caps annual contributions at $5,000, though this figure will rise with inflation over time. Grandparents, aunts, uncles, family friends, and parents can all put money in, but every dollar from these sources counts toward that yearly ceiling. Exceed the limit, and you will need to pull the excess back out.

Workplace benefits offer another channel. Companies can deposit as much as $2,500 annually into accounts belonging to workers or their children. While this money does apply toward the $5,000 threshold, employees will not owe taxes on these contributions.

Charitable organizations and government bodies at various levels have permission to fund these accounts through something called qualified general contributions. Unlike personal or employer deposits, this category of funding exists completely outside the annual cap.

Keep in mind that money coming from family members or friends provides no tax break. These contributions use after-tax dollars. Also worth noting: the earliest anyone can start funding these accounts is Independence Day 2026.

Strict Rules Govern Investments

Congress placed tight restrictions on where this money can go. Only mutual funds and ETFs tracking American stock market indexes qualify. These funds cannot employ any leverage strategies, and their annual expense ratios must not exceed one-tenth of one percent.

Accessing the Funds

Until reaching adulthood, account holders face severe limits on touching their money. The rules permit withdrawals only in narrow circumstances: transferring everything to a different Trump Account, correcting over-contributions, or closing the account following the child’s death.

Everything changes at 18. From that birthday forward, the account essentially transforms into something resembling a traditional IRA with comparable guidelines around distributions and taxation.

Filing Requirements

Establishing one of these accounts means completing Form 4547, which the IRS titled Trump Account Election. This document accompanies your annual 1040 filing and handles both account setup and pilot program enrollment. The form number itself contains a nod to history, combining 45 and 47 to reflect Trump’s elections as both the 45th and 47th commander in chief.

Conclusion and Official Resources

This new savings tool gives families an innovative avenue to save. Taxpayers seeking detailed information can review Notice 2025-68, which the IRS published to address questions about account creation, investment options, contribution types, distribution rules, and reporting obligations. Full regulations remain in development, with proposed rules expected before final versions emerge following public input. The government maintains a dedicated portal at trumpaccounts.gov for ongoing updates.